AI Growth Doctor · - s/d - · analyzed -

AI Growth Doctor

Sequential data preparation → parallel specialist evidence collection → sequential final decision synthesis.

Latest Operating Verdict
Continue Monitoring
Stable

No summary available.

Forecast Evaluation

Compares the forecast created from the previous checkpoint with actual metrics from the latest checkpoint.

Evaluation Status
EMPTY
Actual Data Until
-
Evaluated
0
Pending / Skipped
0 / 0
No forecast is ready for evaluation yet. Forecasts will be evaluated automatically after the latest checkpoint has a meta.window_end equal to or newer than forecast_for_date.

Growth Score Detail

Composite score from activation, retention, monetization, and release risk.

Activation
-
Retention
-
Monetization
-
Release
-

Business Impact Detail

Metric at risk
-
Revenue risk
-
Revenue direction
-
Assumption
-

Final Decision Evidence Map

Evidence layers consumed by the Final Decision Agent. This is not a debate transcript or a step-by-step sequence; specialists are peer inputs and the final agent performs fan-in synthesis.

Layer Signal Decision Weight Detail
Item 1
Activation Agent
Activation Agent: The add-food flow is not the main bottleneck. Once users reach the workspace, food_add_success looks reasonably healthy; the problem is getting sessions into the workspace.
INVESTIGATE
The decision focus shifts to improving workspace entry and onboarding/home CTA.
Evidence
-
Constraint / Counter-signal
Rejects blaming the add-food feature as the main root cause.
Full Decision Weight
The decision focus shifts to improving workspace entry and onboarding/home CTA.
Item 2
Monetization Agent
Monetization Agent: There is an early revenue signal, but the purchase sample is small and a global paywall risks appearing too early.
SEGMENT ONLY
Monetization is not turned off, but limited to cohorts that already reached the value moment.
Evidence
-
Constraint / Counter-signal
Keeps the revenue opportunity testable, but only through segmentation.
Full Decision Weight
Monetization is not turned off, but limited to cohorts that already reached the value moment.
Item 3
Retention Agent
Retention Agent: I caution against aggressive scaling because D1/habit is still weak; extra traffic will leak before becoming a habit.
CAUTION AGAINST SCALE
Ads are held, and product priority shifts to retention and the D0-D1 loop.
Evidence
-
Constraint / Counter-signal
Constrains ads/paywall scaling before D1 logged rate improves.
Full Decision Weight
Ads are held, and product priority shifts to retention and the D0-D1 loop.
Item 4
Version Agent
Version Agent: Release does not look like the main risk source; rollout can continue gradually with guardrails.
CONTINUE WITH MONITORING
The final decision does not choose rollback; focus stays on retention and monetization timing.
Evidence
-
Constraint / Counter-signal
-
Full Decision Weight
The final decision does not choose rollback; focus stays on retention and monetization timing.
Item 5
Ads Agent
Ads Agent: I read acquisition performance and campaign lifecycle. The old Volume Stabil campaign should not automatically be treated as the main campaign if it is marked degraded legacy and Volume Install Reset exists as the reset successor.
MONITOR ADS
Ads become supporting evidence for the budget decision.
Evidence
-
Constraint / Counter-signal
Do not interpret pausing/reducing Volume Stabil as shutting down acquisition if the reset campaign is being evaluated.
Full Decision Weight
Ads become supporting evidence for the budget decision.
Item 6
Tomorrow Forecast Agent
Tomorrow Forecast Agent: Tomorrow forecast strengthens today decision guardrails; scaling is allowed only if predicted activation/retention risk stays safe.
FORECAST ALLOWS CAUTIOUS TEST
Forecast becomes a forward-looking guardrail for today decision.
Evidence
Forecast date: -; scaling guardrail: -; main risk: -
Constraint / Counter-signal
Forecast does not block small experiments, but still requires actual evaluation tomorrow.
Full Decision Weight
Forecast becomes a forward-looking guardrail for today decision.
Item 7
Final Decision Agent
Final Decision Agent: The retention constraint is stronger than monetization upside; today decision is Hold & Optimize, not aggressive scaling.
HOLD AND OPTIMIZE
-
Evidence
-
Constraint / Counter-signal
Combines revenue signal, release safety, and retention guardrail into one operating decision.
Full Decision Weight
-

Operational Action Plan

Action plan that can be executed and evaluated objectively.

Operational action plan is not available yet. Clear cache and regenerate the analysis after the FinalDecisionAgent patch.

Previous Decision Evaluation

Evaluation loop: did the previous checkpoint decision prove correct based on the current outcome?

Available
false
Decision Quality
not_enough_data
Previous Decision
-
Expected Outcome
-
Actual Outcome
-
Lesson
-

Activation Metrics 7D

Session Users-
Workspace Users-
Food Add Success Users-
Food Success / Session-%
Food Success / Workspace-%
Purchase / Paywall-%

Retention Metrics 7D Avg

D0 Logged Rate-%
D1 Logged Rate-%
Habit 7D Rate-%
Avg Log Days 7D-

Specialist AI Agents

Summary of 6 specialist agents. Click a card to open its analysis detail.

Evidence layer · Activation · Retention · Monetization · Version · Ads · Forecast

Tomorrow Forecast Agent Detail

Quantitative forecast based on the latest available data. Evaluation runs only when actual data for the forecast date is available.

Data As Of
-
Forecast For
-
Prediction Status
-
Scaling Caution
-
Evaluation Ready After
-
Activation Forecast
Session Users - – - (-)
Workspace Users - – - (-)
Food Add Success - – - (-)
Food Success / Session - – - (-)
Food Success / Workspace - – - (-)
Retention & Monetization Forecast
D0 Logged Rate - – - (-)
D1 Logged Rate - – - (-)
Habit 7D Rate - – - (-)
Paywall View Users - – - (-)
Purchase Success Users - – - (-)

AI Activation Agent Detail

-

AI Retention Agent Detail

-

AI Monetization Agent Detail

-

Revenue: -
Activation risk: -

AI Version Agent Detail

-

Best: -
Watch: -
Decision: -

AI Ads Agent Detail

Reads Google Ads performance, campaign lifecycle, and reset campaign context so the budget decision is not misinterpreted.

Ads Verdict
-
Campaign Health
-
Budget Decision
-
Confidence
-
Campaign Lifecycle Interpretation
Legacy Campaign
-
Reset Campaign
-
Operator Action Interpretation
-
Guardrails
Scale Guardrail
-
Stop-loss Guardrail
-
Monitoring Metric
-
No Agent Society negotiation payload is available for this run.

30-Day Activation Trend

7D Session
0
7D Workspace
0
7D Food Success
0
Success / Session
-%

30-Day Retention Trend

D0 Avg
-%
D1 Avg
-%
Habit 7D Avg
-%
Avg Log Days
-
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    "app_profile": {
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        "app_id": "hitung_kalori_case_study",
        "app_name": "Hitung Kalori",
        "app_category": "health_fitness",
        "core_action_name": "food logging",
        "core_action_success_label": "food_add_success",
        "workspace_name": "diary workspace",
        "monetization_model": "subscription",
        "timezone": "Asia/Jakarta",
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        "activation.workspace_users": "activation_metrics.metrics_7d.workspace_users",
        "activation.core_action_success_users": "activation_metrics.metrics_7d.food_add_success_users",
        "activation.core_action_success_rate_from_entry": "activation_metrics.metrics_7d.food_add_success_rate_from_session",
        "activation.core_action_success_rate_from_workspace": "activation_metrics.metrics_7d.food_add_success_rate_from_workspace",
        "retention.d0_rate": "retention_metrics.metrics_7d_avg.d0_logged_rate",
        "retention.d1_rate": "retention_metrics.metrics_7d_avg.d1_logged_rate",
        "retention.habit_7d_rate": "retention_metrics.metrics_7d_avg.habit_7d_rate",
        "retention.avg_active_days_7d": "retention_metrics.metrics_7d_avg.avg_log_days_7d",
        "monetization.exposure_users": "monetization_metrics.metrics_7d.paywall_view_users",
        "monetization.purchase_start_users": "monetization_metrics.metrics_7d.purchase_start_users",
        "monetization.purchase_success_users": "monetization_metrics.metrics_7d.purchase_success_users",
        "monetization.purchase_success_rate_from_exposure": "monetization_metrics.metrics_7d.purchase_success_rate_from_paywall",
        "ads.cost": "ads_metrics.overall.cost",
        "ads.clicks": "ads_metrics.overall.clicks",
        "ads.impressions": "ads_metrics.overall.impressions",
        "ads.conversions": "ads_metrics.overall.conversions",
        "ads.cost_per_conversion": "ads_metrics.overall.cost_per_install",
        "ads.conversion_rate": "ads_metrics.overall.conversion_rate"
    },
    "generic_metrics_context": [],
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    "source_metric_refs": [],
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        "forecast_model_calibration": {
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                "interpretation": "empty"
            },
            "decision_instruction": []
        }
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    "agents": {
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        "monetization_agent": [],
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        "ai_monetization_agent": [],
        "ai_version_agent": [],
        "ai_ads_agent": [],
        "ai_tomorrow_forecast_agent": [],
        "structured_negotiation": [],
        "orchestrator_evidence_assembly": [],
        "ai_final_decision_agent": [],
        "decision_scenario_simulator": []
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    "structured_negotiation": [],
    "conflict_matrix": [],
    "negotiation_summary": [],
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    "quantitative_baseline_comparison": [],
    "charts": {
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        "retention_trend": []
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}